Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.75 - 1.29
Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 58.55% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 2.09 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 1.36 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.75 for Newcastle and 1.29 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.55%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Nottingham Forest

03-03-2027
Nottingham Forest
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
30-12-2026
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
10-05-2026
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
05-10-2025
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
23-02-2025
Newcastle
4 - 3
(HT 4-1)
Nottingham Forest
10-11-2024
Nottingham Forest
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
28-08-2024
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
10-02-2024
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
(HT 2-2)
Newcastle
26-12-2023
Newcastle
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Nottingham Forest
17-03-2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
06-08-2022
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
30-12-2016
Newcastle
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Nottingham Forest
02-12-2016
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.