Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.74 - 1.10
Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.03% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.23 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 1.46 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.74 for Bournemouth and 1.10 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.03%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa

10-02-2027
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Bournemouth
02-01-2027
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
28-10-2026
Bournemouth
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
07-02-2026
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
09-11-2025
Aston Villa
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
10-05-2025
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
26-10-2024
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
21-04-2024
Aston Villa
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
03-12-2023
Bournemouth
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
18-03-2023
Aston Villa
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
06-08-2022
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
01-02-2020
Bournemouth
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
17-08-2019
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Bournemouth
09-04-2016
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
08-08-2015
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.