Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.22 - 0.87
Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 59.64% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brighton vs Manchester United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Amex Stadium
In their previous 21 head-to-head matches, Brighton scored an average of 1.48 goals per match, compared to Manchester United 1.62 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brighton scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Manchester United scored 0.83 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brighton vs Manchester United match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.22 for Brighton and 0.87 for Manchester United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 59.64%.

H2H - Brighton vs. Manchester United

10-02-2027
Manchester United
-
(HT -)
Brighton
02-01-2027
Brighton
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
16-09-2026
Manchester United
2 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Brighton
24-05-2026
Brighton
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
11-01-2026
Manchester United
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
25-10-2025
Manchester United
4 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
19-01-2025
Manchester United
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
24-08-2024
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
19-05-2024
Brighton
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
16-09-2023
Manchester United
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
04-05-2023
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
23-04-2023
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
07-08-2022
Manchester United
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Brighton
07-05-2022
Brighton
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
15-02-2022
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
04-04-2021
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
26-09-2020
Brighton
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
30-06-2020
Brighton
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
10-11-2019
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
19-01-2019
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
19-08-2018
Brighton
3 - 2
(HT 3-1)
Manchester United
04-05-2018
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
25-11-2017
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Away Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.