Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
-
(xG) 1.80 - 1.35
Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.81% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Aston Villa vs Manchester United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Villa Park
In their previous 27 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 0.89 goals per match, compared to Manchester United 2.04 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Manchester United scored 0.83 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Manchester United match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.80 for Aston Villa and 1.35 for Manchester United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.81%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Manchester United

16-01-2027
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
08-11-2026
Manchester United
4 - 4
(HT 2-2)
Aston Villa
15-03-2026
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
21-12-2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
25-05-2025
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
06-10-2024
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
11-02-2024
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
26-12-2023
Manchester United
3 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Aston Villa
30-04-2023
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
06-11-2022
Aston Villa
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Manchester United
15-01-2022
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
10-01-2022
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
25-09-2021
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
09-05-2021
Aston Villa
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
01-01-2021
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
09-07-2020
Aston Villa
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
01-12-2019
Manchester United
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
16-04-2016
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
14-08-2015
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
04-04-2015
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
20-12-2014
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
29-03-2014
Manchester United
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Aston Villa
15-12-2013
Aston Villa
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
22-04-2013
Manchester United
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Aston Villa
10-11-2012
Aston Villa
2 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
15-04-2012
Manchester United
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
03-12-2011
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
01-02-2011
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
13-11-2010
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Away Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.