Brentford
D
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.58 - 0.96
Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.27% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brentford vs Brighton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Brentford Community Stadium
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Brentford scored an average of 1.25 goals per match, compared to Brighton 1.38 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brentford scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Brighton scored 1.00 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brentford vs Brighton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Brentford and 0.96 for Brighton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.27%.

H2H - Brentford vs. Brighton

16-01-2027
Brentford
-
(HT -)
Brighton
08-11-2026
Brighton
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Brentford
21-02-2026
Brentford
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Brighton
22-11-2025
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brentford
19-04-2025
Brentford
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
27-12-2024
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
03-04-2024
Brentford
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
06-12-2023
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brentford
01-04-2023
Brighton
3 - 3
(HT 2-2)
Brentford
14-10-2022
Brentford
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
26-12-2021
Brighton
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Brentford
11-09-2021
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
05-02-2017
Brentford
3 - 3
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
10-09-2016
Brighton
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brentford
05-02-2016
Brighton
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Brentford
26-12-2015
Brentford
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
17-01-2015
Brighton
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brentford
13-09-2014
Brentford
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Brighton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brentford

10.10 @ Aston Villa 2-2
D
17.10 vs Liverpool 1-2
L
25.10 @ Hull City 1-1
D
28.10 @ Sunderland 3-2
L
31.10 vs Nottingham Forest 2-0
W
08.11 @ Brighton 2-0
L

Away Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.