Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.76 - 1.45
Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 62.24% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brighton vs Manchester City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Amex Stadium
In their previous 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton scored an average of 0.95 goals per match, compared to Manchester City 2.35 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brighton scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Manchester City scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brighton vs Manchester City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.76 for Brighton and 1.45 for Manchester City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 62.24%.

H2H - Brighton vs. Manchester City

23-01-2027
Brighton
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
31-10-2026
Manchester City
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
28-10-2026
Manchester City
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
07-01-2026
Manchester City
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
31-08-2025
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
15-03-2025
Manchester City
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Brighton
09-11-2024
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
25-04-2024
Brighton
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Manchester City
21-10-2023
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
24-05-2023
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
22-10-2022
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
20-04-2022
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
23-10-2021
Brighton
1 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Manchester City
18-05-2021
Brighton
3 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
13-01-2021
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
11-07-2020
Brighton
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
Manchester City
31-08-2019
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
12-05-2019
Brighton
1 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Manchester City
29-09-2018
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
09-05-2018
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Brighton
12-08-2017
Brighton
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Away Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.