Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
-
(xG) 2.11 - 1.36
Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 67.40% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Stamford Bridge
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Chelsea scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 1.25 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Chelsea scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.11 for Chelsea and 1.36 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.40%.

H2H - Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest

30-01-2027
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
27-11-2026
Nottingham Forest
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
04-05-2026
Chelsea
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Nottingham Forest
18-10-2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
25-05-2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
06-10-2024
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
11-05-2024
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
02-09-2023
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
13-05-2023
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Nottingham Forest
01-01-2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.