Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.92 - 1.47
Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 65.98% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Manchester City vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Etihad Stadium
In their previous 35 head-to-head matches, Manchester City scored an average of 1.77 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.09 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester City scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 2.17, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester City vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.92 for Manchester City and 1.47 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.98%.

H2H - Manchester City vs. Arsenal

30-01-2027
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
29-11-2026
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
16-08-2026
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Manchester City
19-04-2026
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
22-03-2026
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
21-09-2025
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
02-02-2025
Arsenal
5 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
22-09-2024
Manchester City
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Arsenal
31-03-2024
Manchester City
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
08-10-2023
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
26-04-2023
Manchester City
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
15-02-2023
Arsenal
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
27-01-2023
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
01-01-2022
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
28-08-2021
Manchester City
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Arsenal
21-02-2021
Arsenal
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
17-10-2020
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
17-06-2020
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
15-12-2019
Arsenal
0 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Manchester City
03-02-2019
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
12-08-2018
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
01-03-2018
Arsenal
0 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Manchester City
05-11-2017
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
02-04-2017
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Manchester City
18-12-2016
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
08-05-2016
Manchester City
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
21-12-2015
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Manchester City
18-01-2015
Manchester City
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
13-09-2014
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
29-03-2014
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
14-12-2013
Manchester City
6 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
13-01-2013
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Manchester City
23-09-2012
Manchester City
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
08-04-2012
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
18-12-2011
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
05-01-2011
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
24-10-2010
Manchester City
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Away Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.