Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.15 - 1.70
Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W

Mathematical Predictions: Newcastle vs Brighton

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.24% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Newcastle team crest Newcastle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Newcastle
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Fulham X O2.5 1-1
02 Nov 26 vs Everton 2 O2.5 0-1
29 Oct 26 @ Everton X U2.5 3-1
25 Oct 26 @ Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 0-1

Brighton team crest Brighton Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Brighton
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Brentford 1 O2.5 2-0
05 Nov 26 @ Getafe X U2.5 0-1
31 Oct 26 @ Manchester City X O2.5 0-1
25 Oct 26 @ Liverpool X O2.5 2-0
22 Oct 26 @ FK Jablonec X U2.5 0-0

Newcastle vs Brighton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
TBA
In their previous 21 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 0.95 goals per match, compared to Brighton 1.10 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Brighton scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Newcastle vs Brighton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.15 for Newcastle and 1.70 for Brighton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.24%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Brighton

30 Jan 27
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Brighton
02 May 26
Newcastle
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Brighton
18 Oct 25
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
04 May 25
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
02 Mar 25
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
19 Oct 24
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
11 May 24
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
02 Sep 23
Brighton
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

12 Oct @ Coventry 4-1
L
17 Oct vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25 Oct @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29 Oct @ Everton 3-1
L
02 Nov vs Everton 0-1
L
07 Nov @ Fulham 1-1
D

Away Crest Brighton

22 Oct @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25 Oct @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28 Oct @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31 Oct @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05 Nov @ Getafe 0-1
W
08 Nov vs Brentford 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.