Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.68 - 1.60
Liverpool
W
W
D
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arsenal vs Liverpool

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 34 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.38 goals per match, compared to Liverpool 1.97 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.33, whereas Liverpool scored 2.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal vs Liverpool match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.68 for Arsenal and 1.60 for Liverpool. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.72%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Liverpool

06-02-2027
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Liverpool
01-11-2026
Liverpool
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
08-01-2026
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
31-08-2025
Liverpool
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
11-05-2025
Liverpool
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
27-10-2024
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Liverpool
04-02-2024
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Liverpool
07-01-2024
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
23-12-2023
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
09-04-2023
Liverpool
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Arsenal
09-10-2022
Arsenal
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Liverpool
16-03-2022
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
20-11-2021
Liverpool
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
03-04-2021
Arsenal
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
28-09-2020
Liverpool
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
15-07-2020
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Liverpool
24-08-2019
Liverpool
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
29-12-2018
Liverpool
5 - 1
(HT 4-1)
Arsenal
03-11-2018
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
22-12-2017
Arsenal
3 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
27-08-2017
Liverpool
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
04-03-2017
Liverpool
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
14-08-2016
Arsenal
3 - 4
(HT 1-1)
Liverpool
13-01-2016
Liverpool
3 - 3
(HT 2-2)
Arsenal
24-08-2015
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
04-04-2015
Arsenal
4 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Liverpool
21-12-2014
Liverpool
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
08-02-2014
Liverpool
5 - 1
(HT 4-0)
Arsenal
02-11-2013
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
30-01-2013
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
02-09-2012
Liverpool
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
03-03-2012
Liverpool
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
20-08-2011
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
17-04-2011
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Liverpool
15-08-2010
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Away Crest Liverpool

20.10 vs Villarreal 4-3
W
25.10 vs Brighton 2-0
W
28.10 vs Chelsea 1-1
D
01.11 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
04.11 @ Fenerbahce 3-2
L
08.11 @ Crystal Palace 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.