Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
-
(xG) 1.50 - 1.56
Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 58.99% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Manchester United vs Chelsea

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Old Trafford
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Manchester United scored an average of 1.33 goals per match, compared to Chelsea 1.18 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester United scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.33, whereas Chelsea scored 1.17 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester United vs Chelsea match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.50 for Manchester United and 1.56 for Chelsea. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.99%.

H2H - Manchester United vs. Chelsea

06-02-2027
Manchester United
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
31-10-2026
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
18-04-2026
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
20-09-2025
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
16-05-2025
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
03-11-2024
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
04-04-2024
Chelsea
4 - 3
(HT 2-2)
Manchester United
06-12-2023
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
25-05-2023
Manchester United
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
22-10-2022
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
28-04-2022
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
28-11-2021
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
28-02-2021
Chelsea
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
24-10-2020
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
17-02-2020
Chelsea
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
11-08-2019
Manchester United
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
28-04-2019
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
20-10-2018
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
25-02-2018
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
05-11-2017
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
16-04-2017
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
23-10-2016
Chelsea
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Manchester United
07-02-2016
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
28-12-2015
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
18-04-2015
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
26-10-2014
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
19-01-2014
Chelsea
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Manchester United
26-08-2013
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
05-05-2013
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
28-10-2012
Chelsea
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Manchester United
05-02-2012
Chelsea
3 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
18-09-2011
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Chelsea
08-05-2011
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
01-03-2011
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Away Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.