Sunderland
D
D
W
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.31 - 1.51
Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.56% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Sunderland vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Stadium of Light
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Sunderland scored an average of 0.94 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 1.69 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sunderland scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 1.00, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.83 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sunderland vs Aston Villa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.31 for Sunderland and 1.51 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.56%.

H2H - Sunderland vs. Aston Villa

06-02-2027
Sunderland
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
21-11-2026
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Sunderland
19-04-2026
Aston Villa
4 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Sunderland
21-09-2025
Sunderland
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
06-03-2018
Sunderland
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Aston Villa
21-11-2017
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
02-01-2016
Sunderland
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
29-08-2015
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Sunderland
14-03-2015
Sunderland
0 - 4
(HT 0-4)
Aston Villa
28-12-2014
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
01-01-2014
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
30-11-2013
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
29-04-2013
Aston Villa
6 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Sunderland
03-11-2012
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
21-04-2012
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
29-10-2011
Sunderland
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
05-01-2011
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland
23-10-2010
Sunderland
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sunderland

22.10 @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25.10 vs Leeds 0-0
D
28.10 vs Brentford 3-2
W
31.10 @ Coventry 3-1
L
05.11 vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L
08.11 vs Chelsea 1-0
W

Away Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.