Everton
D
L
L
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.58 - 1.02
Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.87% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Everton vs Leeds

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Hill Dickinson Stadium
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Everton scored an average of 1.25 goals per match, compared to Leeds 0.88 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Everton scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.00, whereas Leeds scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Everton vs Leeds match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Everton and 1.02 for Leeds. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.87%.

H2H - Everton vs. Leeds

10-02-2027
Everton
-
(HT -)
Leeds
01-01-2027
Leeds
-
(HT -)
Everton
26-01-2026
Everton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Leeds
18-08-2025
Leeds
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Everton
18-02-2023
Everton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
30-08-2022
Leeds
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Everton
12-02-2022
Everton
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Leeds
21-08-2021
Leeds
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Everton
03-02-2021
Leeds
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Everton
28-11-2020
Everton
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Leeds

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Everton

11.10 @ Hull City 2-2
D
17.10 vs Chelsea 0-2
L
24.10 @ Arsenal 2-0
L
29.10 vs Newcastle 3-1
W
02.11 @ Newcastle 0-1
W
06.11 vs Coventry 3-1
W

Away Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.