Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.41 - 1.40
Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.19% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Newcastle vs Chelsea

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
TBA
In their previous 32 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.22 goals per match, compared to Chelsea 1.53 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Chelsea scored 1.17 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Newcastle vs Chelsea match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.41 for Newcastle and 1.40 for Chelsea. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.19%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Chelsea

10-02-2027
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
03-01-2027
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
14-03-2026
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
20-12-2025
Newcastle
2 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
11-05-2025
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
30-10-2024
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
27-10-2024
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
11-03-2024
Chelsea
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
19-12-2023
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
25-11-2023
Newcastle
4 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
28-05-2023
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
12-11-2022
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
13-03-2022
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
30-10-2021
Newcastle
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
15-02-2021
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
21-11-2020
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
18-01-2020
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
19-10-2019
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
12-01-2019
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
26-08-2018
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
13-05-2018
Newcastle
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
02-12-2017
Chelsea
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Newcastle
13-02-2016
Chelsea
5 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Newcastle
26-09-2015
Newcastle
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
10-01-2015
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
06-12-2014
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
08-02-2014
Chelsea
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
02-11-2013
Newcastle
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
02-02-2013
Newcastle
3 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
25-08-2012
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
02-05-2012
Chelsea
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
03-12-2011
Newcastle
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
15-05-2011
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
28-11-2010
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Away Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.