Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 2.50 - 1.37
Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 74.15% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Manchester City vs Newcastle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Etihad Stadium
In their previous 35 head-to-head matches, Manchester City scored an average of 2.66 goals per match, compared to Newcastle 0.77 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester City scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 2.17, whereas Newcastle scored 1.17 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester City vs Newcastle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.50 for Manchester City and 1.37 for Newcastle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 74.15%.

H2H - Manchester City vs. Newcastle

20-02-2027
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
26-12-2026
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
07-03-2026
Newcastle
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
21-02-2026
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Newcastle
04-02-2026
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Newcastle
13-01-2026
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
22-11-2025
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
15-02-2025
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Newcastle
28-09-2024
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
16-03-2024
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
13-01-2024
Newcastle
2 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Manchester City
27-09-2023
Newcastle
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
19-08-2023
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
04-03-2023
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
21-08-2022
Newcastle
3 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Manchester City
08-05-2022
Manchester City
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
19-12-2021
Newcastle
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Manchester City
14-05-2021
Newcastle
3 - 4
(HT 2-2)
Manchester City
26-12-2020
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
08-07-2020
Manchester City
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
30-11-2019
Newcastle
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
29-01-2019
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
01-09-2018
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
20-01-2018
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
27-12-2017
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
19-04-2016
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
03-10-2015
Manchester City
6 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
21-02-2015
Manchester City
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Newcastle
17-08-2014
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
12-01-2014
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
19-08-2013
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
30-03-2013
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
15-12-2012
Newcastle
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester City
06-05-2012
Newcastle
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
19-11-2011
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Newcastle
26-12-2010
Newcastle
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester City
03-10-2010
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Away Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.