Everton
D
L
L
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.61 - 0.88
Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.69% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Everton vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Hill Dickinson Stadium
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Everton scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 0.63 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Everton scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.00, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Everton vs Nottingham Forest match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.61 for Everton and 0.88 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.69%.

H2H - Everton vs. Nottingham Forest

27-02-2027
Everton
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
20-12-2026
Nottingham Forest
-
(HT -)
Everton
30-12-2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Everton
06-12-2025
Everton
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest
12-04-2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Everton
29-12-2024
Everton
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Nottingham Forest
21-04-2024
Everton
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
02-12-2023
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Everton
05-03-2023
Nottingham Forest
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Everton
20-08-2022
Everton
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Everton

11.10 @ Hull City 2-2
D
17.10 vs Chelsea 0-2
L
24.10 @ Arsenal 2-0
L
29.10 vs Newcastle 3-1
W
02.11 @ Newcastle 0-1
W
06.11 vs Coventry 3-1
W

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.