Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
-
(xG) 1.40 - 1.63
Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 58.30% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Manchester United vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Old Trafford
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Manchester United scored an average of 1.36 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.39 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester United scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.33, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester United vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.40 for Manchester United and 1.63 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.30%.

H2H - Manchester United vs. Arsenal

27-02-2027
Manchester United
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
20-12-2026
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
25-01-2026
Arsenal
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
17-08-2025
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
09-03-2025
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
12-01-2025
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
04-12-2024
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
12-05-2024
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
03-09-2023
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
22-01-2023
Arsenal
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
04-09-2022
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
23-04-2022
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Manchester United
02-12-2021
Manchester United
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
30-01-2021
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
01-11-2020
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
01-01-2020
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Manchester United
30-09-2019
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
10-03-2019
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
05-12-2018
Manchester United
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
29-04-2018
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
02-12-2017
Arsenal
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
07-05-2017
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
19-11-2016
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
28-02-2016
Manchester United
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
04-10-2015
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Manchester United
17-05-2015
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
22-11-2014
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
12-02-2014
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
10-11-2013
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
28-04-2013
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
03-11-2012
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
22-01-2012
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
28-08-2011
Manchester United
8 - 2
(HT 3-1)
Arsenal
01-05-2011
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
13-12-2010
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Away Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.