Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.91 - 0.91
Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.45% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Bournemouth vs Newcastle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.56 goals per match, compared to Newcastle 1.39 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Newcastle scored 1.17 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Newcastle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.91 for Bournemouth and 0.91 for Newcastle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.45%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Newcastle

13-03-2027
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
05-09-2026
Newcastle
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Bournemouth
18-04-2026
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
10-01-2026
Newcastle
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
21-09-2025
Bournemouth
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
18-01-2025
Newcastle
1 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Bournemouth
25-08-2024
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
17-02-2024
Newcastle
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
11-11-2023
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
11-02-2023
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
17-09-2022
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
01-07-2020
Bournemouth
1 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Newcastle
09-11-2019
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
16-03-2019
Bournemouth
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
10-11-2018
Newcastle
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Bournemouth
24-02-2018
Bournemouth
2 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Newcastle
04-11-2017
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
05-03-2016
Newcastle
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
07-11-2015
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.