Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
-
(xG) 1.92 - 1.50
Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 66.37% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Chelsea vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Stamford Bridge
In their previous 36 head-to-head matches, Chelsea scored an average of 1.42 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Chelsea scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Chelsea vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.92 for Chelsea and 1.50 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 66.37%.

H2H - Chelsea vs. Arsenal

13-03-2027
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
06-09-2026
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
01-03-2026
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
03-02-2026
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
14-01-2026
Chelsea
2 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
30-11-2025
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
16-03-2025
Arsenal
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
10-11-2024
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
23-04-2024
Arsenal
5 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
21-10-2023
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
02-05-2023
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Chelsea
06-11-2022
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
20-04-2022
Chelsea
2 - 4
(HT 2-2)
Arsenal
22-08-2021
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Chelsea
12-05-2021
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
26-12-2020
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
21-01-2020
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
29-12-2019
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
29-05-2019
Chelsea
4 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
19-01-2019
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
18-08-2018
Chelsea
3 - 2
(HT 2-2)
Arsenal
03-01-2018
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
17-09-2017
Chelsea
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
04-02-2017
Chelsea
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
24-09-2016
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Chelsea
24-01-2016
Arsenal
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
19-09-2015
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
26-04-2015
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
05-10-2014
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
22-03-2014
Chelsea
6 - 0
(HT 4-0)
Arsenal
23-12-2013
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
20-01-2013
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
29-09-2012
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
21-04-2012
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
29-10-2011
Chelsea
3 - 5
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
27-12-2010
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
03-10-2010
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Away Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.