Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
-
(xG) 1.10 - 1.04
Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 63.79% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Leeds vs Brighton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Elland Road
In their previous 21 head-to-head matches, Leeds scored an average of 0.81 goals per match, compared to Brighton 1.62 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Leeds scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Brighton scored 1.00 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Leeds vs Brighton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.10 for Leeds and 1.04 for Brighton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.79%.

H2H - Leeds vs. Brighton

13-03-2027
Leeds
-
(HT -)
Brighton
05-09-2026
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Leeds
17-05-2026
Leeds
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
01-11-2025
Brighton
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
11-03-2023
Leeds
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
27-08-2022
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
15-05-2022
Leeds
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
27-11-2021
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
01-05-2021
Brighton
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
16-01-2021
Leeds
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
18-03-2017
Leeds
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
09-12-2016
Brighton
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
29-02-2016
Brighton
4 - 0
(HT 4-0)
Leeds
17-10-2015
Leeds
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
24-02-2015
Brighton
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
19-08-2014
Leeds
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
11-02-2014
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
03-08-2013
Leeds
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
27-04-2013
Leeds
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
02-11-2012
Brighton
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Leeds
11-02-2012
Leeds
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
23-09-2011
Brighton
3 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Leeds

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Away Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.