Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 2.19 - 1.37
Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 69.03% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Manchester City vs Manchester United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Etihad Stadium
In their previous 35 head-to-head matches, Manchester City scored an average of 1.74 goals per match, compared to Manchester United 1.11 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester City scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 2.17, whereas Manchester United scored 0.83 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester City vs Manchester United match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.19 for Manchester City and 1.37 for Manchester United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.03%.

H2H - Manchester City vs. Manchester United

20-03-2027
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
13-09-2026
Manchester United
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
17-01-2026
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
14-09-2025
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
06-04-2025
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
15-12-2024
Manchester City
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
10-08-2024
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
25-05-2024
Manchester City
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
03-03-2024
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
29-10-2023
Manchester United
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
03-06-2023
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
14-01-2023
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
02-10-2022
Manchester City
6 - 3
(HT 4-0)
Manchester United
06-03-2022
Manchester City
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Manchester United
06-11-2021
Manchester United
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Manchester City
07-03-2021
Manchester City
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
12-12-2020
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
08-03-2020
Manchester United
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
07-12-2019
Manchester City
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
24-04-2019
Manchester United
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
11-11-2018
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
07-04-2018
Manchester City
2 - 3
(HT 2-0)
Manchester United
10-12-2017
Manchester United
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
27-04-2017
Manchester City
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
10-09-2016
Manchester United
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Manchester City
20-03-2016
Manchester City
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
25-10-2015
Manchester United
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
12-04-2015
Manchester United
4 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Manchester City
02-11-2014
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
25-03-2014
Manchester United
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
22-09-2013
Manchester City
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Manchester United
08-04-2013
Manchester United
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
09-12-2012
Manchester City
2 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Manchester United
30-04-2012
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
23-10-2011
Manchester United
1 - 6
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
12-02-2011
Manchester United
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
10-11-2010
Manchester City
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Away Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.