Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.56 - 1.44
Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 57.68% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Newcastle vs Leeds

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
TBA
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.36 goals per match, compared to Leeds 1.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Leeds scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Newcastle vs Leeds match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.56 for Newcastle and 1.44 for Leeds. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.68%.

H2H - Newcastle vs. Leeds

20-03-2027
Newcastle
-
(HT -)
Leeds
14-09-2026
Leeds
4 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Newcastle
07-01-2026
Newcastle
4 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Leeds
30-08-2025
Leeds
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
13-05-2023
Leeds
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
31-12-2022
Newcastle
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
22-01-2022
Leeds
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
17-09-2021
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Leeds
26-01-2021
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Leeds
16-12-2020
Leeds
5 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Newcastle
14-04-2017
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
20-11-2016
Leeds
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Away Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.