Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
-
(xG) 1.25 - 1.54
Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.66% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
City Ground
In their previous 17 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.41 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 1.94 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 0.50 and conceded 1.00, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.25 for Nottingham Forest and 1.54 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.66%.

H2H - Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa

20-03-2027
Nottingham Forest
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
12-09-2026
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
07-05-2026
Aston Villa
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
30-04-2026
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
12-04-2026
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
03-01-2026
Aston Villa
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
05-04-2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest
14-12-2024
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
24-02-2024
Aston Villa
4 - 2
(HT 3-1)
Nottingham Forest
05-11-2023
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
08-04-2023
Aston Villa
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
10-10-2022
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
13-03-2019
Nottingham Forest
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Aston Villa
28-11-2018
Aston Villa
5 - 5
(HT 3-3)
Nottingham Forest
13-01-2018
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
23-09-2017
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
04-02-2017
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
11-09-2016
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Away Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.