Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
-
(xG) 1.64 - 1.10
Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.56% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Aston Villa vs Brighton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Villa Park
In their previous 17 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 1.76 goals per match, compared to Brighton 1.12 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aston Villa scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Brighton scored 1.00 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aston Villa vs Brighton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.64 for Aston Villa and 1.10 for Brighton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.56%.

H2H - Aston Villa vs. Brighton

10-04-2027
Aston Villa
-
(HT -)
Brighton
23-08-2026
Brighton
4 - 0
(HT 4-0)
Aston Villa
11-02-2026
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
03-12-2025
Brighton
3 - 4
(HT 2-2)
Aston Villa
02-04-2025
Brighton
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
30-12-2024
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
05-05-2024
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
30-09-2023
Aston Villa
6 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Brighton
28-05-2023
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Brighton
13-11-2022
Brighton
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
26-02-2022
Brighton
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
20-11-2021
Aston Villa
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
13-02-2021
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
21-11-2020
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
18-01-2020
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
19-10-2019
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
07-05-2017
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
18-11-2016
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Away Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.