Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.34 - 1.62
Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 56.80% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Bournemouth vs Manchester City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 20 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 0.70 goals per match, compared to Manchester City 2.85 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Manchester City scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Manchester City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.34 for Bournemouth and 1.62 for Manchester City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.80%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Manchester City

10-04-2027
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
23-08-2026
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
19-05-2026
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
02-11-2025
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Bournemouth
20-05-2025
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
30-03-2025
Bournemouth
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
02-11-2024
Bournemouth
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
24-02-2024
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
04-11-2023
Manchester City
6 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Bournemouth
25-02-2023
Bournemouth
1 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Manchester City
13-08-2022
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Bournemouth
15-07-2020
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
25-08-2019
Bournemouth
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Manchester City
02-03-2019
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
01-12-2018
Manchester City
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
23-12-2017
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
26-08-2017
Bournemouth
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
13-02-2017
Bournemouth
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
17-09-2016
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
02-04-2016
Bournemouth
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Manchester City
17-10-2015
Manchester City
5 - 1
(HT 4-1)
Bournemouth

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.