Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
-
(xG) 1.61 - 1.00
Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.59% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Leeds vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Elland Road
In their previous 24 head-to-head matches, Leeds scored an average of 1.33 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Leeds scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Leeds vs Nottingham Forest match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.61 for Leeds and 1.00 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.59%.

H2H - Leeds vs. Nottingham Forest

10-04-2027
Leeds
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
25-08-2026
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
22-08-2026
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
06-02-2026
Leeds
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest
09-11-2025
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Leeds
04-04-2023
Leeds
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Nottingham Forest
05-02-2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
08-02-2020
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
10-08-2019
Leeds
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
01-01-2019
Nottingham Forest
4 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
27-10-2018
Leeds
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Nottingham Forest
01-01-2018
Leeds
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
26-08-2017
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Leeds
25-01-2017
Leeds
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
27-08-2016
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
06-02-2016
Leeds
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
27-12-2015
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
14-03-2015
Leeds
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
20-12-2014
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
21-04-2014
Leeds
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Nottingham Forest
29-12-2013
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
26-12-2012
Nottingham Forest
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Leeds
22-09-2012
Leeds
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest
20-03-2012
Leeds
3 - 7
(HT 1-2)
Nottingham Forest
29-11-2011
Nottingham Forest
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Leeds

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.