Liverpool
W
W
D
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.43 - 1.10
Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.59% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Prediction Track Records

Liverpool team crest Liverpool Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Liverpool
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under FT
08.11.2026 @ Crystal Palace X O2.5 1-3
04.11.2026 @ Fenerbahçe X O2.5 3-2
01.11.2026 vs Arsenal 1 O2.5 0-1
25.10.2026 vs Brighton X O2.5 2-0
20.10.2026 vs Villarreal 1 O2.5 4-3

Newcastle team crest Newcastle Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Newcastle
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under FT
07.11.2026 @ Fulham X O2.5 1-1
02.11.2026 vs Everton 2 O2.5 0-1
29.10.2026 @ Everton X U2.5 3-1
25.10.2026 @ Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-2
17.10.2026 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 0-1

Liverpool vs Newcastle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Anfield
In their previous 32 head-to-head matches, Liverpool scored an average of 2.13 goals per match, compared to Newcastle 1.13 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Liverpool scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 1.17, whereas Newcastle scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Liverpool vs Newcastle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.43 for Liverpool and 1.10 for Newcastle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.59%.

H2H - Liverpool vs. Newcastle

10-04-2027
Liverpool
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
23-08-2026
Newcastle
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
31-01-2026
Liverpool
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Newcastle
25-08-2025
Newcastle
2 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Liverpool
16-03-2025
Liverpool
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
26-02-2025
Liverpool
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
04-12-2024
Newcastle
3 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Liverpool
01-01-2024
Liverpool
4 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Liverpool

20.10 vs Villarreal 4-3
W
25.10 vs Brighton 2-0
W
28.10 vs Chelsea 1-1
D
01.11 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
04.11 @ Fenerbahce 3-2
L
08.11 @ Crystal Palace 1-3
W

Away Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.