Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.64 - 1.63
Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.61% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arsenal vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 27 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.93 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 1.07 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 0.33, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal vs Aston Villa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.64 for Arsenal and 1.63 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.61%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Aston Villa

17-04-2027
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
31-08-2026
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
30-12-2025
Arsenal
4 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
06-12-2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
18-01-2025
Arsenal
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
24-08-2024
Aston Villa
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
14-04-2024
Arsenal
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
09-12-2023
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
18-02-2023
Aston Villa
2 - 4
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
31-08-2022
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
19-03-2022
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
22-10-2021
Arsenal
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
06-02-2021
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
08-11-2020
Arsenal
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
21-07-2020
Aston Villa
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
22-09-2019
Arsenal
3 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
15-05-2016
Arsenal
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
13-12-2015
Aston Villa
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
01-02-2015
Arsenal
5 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
20-09-2014
Aston Villa
0 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Arsenal
13-01-2014
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
17-08-2013
Arsenal
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
23-02-2013
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
24-11-2012
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
24-03-2012
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
21-12-2011
Aston Villa
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
15-05-2011
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Aston Villa
27-11-2010
Aston Villa
2 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Away Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.