Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.03 - 1.03
Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 59.09% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brighton vs Chelsea

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Amex Stadium
In their previous 21 head-to-head matches, Brighton scored an average of 1.43 goals per match, compared to Chelsea 1.76 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brighton scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Chelsea scored 1.17 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brighton vs Chelsea match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.03 for Brighton and 1.03 for Chelsea. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 59.09%.

H2H - Brighton vs. Chelsea

17-04-2027
Brighton
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
30-08-2026
Chelsea
4 - 3
(HT 3-1)
Brighton
21-04-2026
Brighton
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
27-09-2025
Chelsea
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
14-02-2025
Brighton
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Chelsea
08-02-2025
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
28-09-2024
Chelsea
4 - 2
(HT 4-2)
Brighton
15-05-2024
Brighton
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
03-12-2023
Chelsea
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Brighton
27-09-2023
Chelsea
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
15-04-2023
Chelsea
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
29-10-2022
Brighton
4 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Chelsea
18-01-2022
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
29-12-2021
Chelsea
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
20-04-2021
Chelsea
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
14-09-2020
Brighton
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
01-01-2020
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
28-09-2019
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
03-04-2019
Chelsea
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
16-12-2018
Brighton
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Chelsea
20-01-2018
Brighton
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Chelsea
26-12-2017
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Away Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.