Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 2.02 - 0.85
Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.78% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brighton vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Amex Stadium
In their previous 21 head-to-head matches, Brighton scored an average of 1.24 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 1.38 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brighton scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brighton vs Nottingham Forest match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.02 for Brighton and 0.85 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.78%.

H2H - Brighton vs. Nottingham Forest

01-05-2027
Brighton
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
05-12-2026
Nottingham Forest
-
(HT -)
Brighton
01-03-2026
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Nottingham Forest
30-11-2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
29-03-2025
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
01-02-2025
Nottingham Forest
7 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Brighton
22-09-2024
Brighton
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Nottingham Forest
10-03-2024
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
25-11-2023
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Brighton
26-04-2023
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brighton
18-10-2022
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
04-03-2017
Nottingham Forest
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
12-08-2016
Brighton
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
11-04-2016
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
07-08-2015
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
07-02-2015
Brighton
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Nottingham Forest
27-09-2014
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
03-05-2014
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
05-10-2013
Brighton
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
30-03-2013
Nottingham Forest
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
15-12-2012
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest
24-03-2012
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
03-12-2011
Brighton
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Nottingham Forest

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.