Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 2.05 - 1.49
Brentford
D
L
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 68.61% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Manchester City vs Brentford

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Etihad Stadium
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Manchester City scored an average of 1.64 goals per match, compared to Brentford 0.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester City scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 2.17, whereas Brentford scored 1.67 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester City vs Brentford match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.05 for Manchester City and 1.49 for Brentford. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 68.61%.

H2H - Manchester City vs. Brentford

01-05-2027
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Brentford
05-12-2026
Brentford
-
(HT -)
Manchester City
09-05-2026
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
17-12-2025
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
05-10-2025
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City
14-01-2025
Brentford
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
14-09-2024
Manchester City
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Brentford
20-02-2024
Manchester City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
05-02-2024
Brentford
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Manchester City
28-05-2023
Brentford
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
12-11-2022
Manchester City
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brentford
09-02-2022
Manchester City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
29-12-2021
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Away Crest Brentford

10.10 @ Aston Villa 2-2
D
17.10 vs Liverpool 1-2
L
25.10 @ Hull City 1-1
D
28.10 @ Sunderland 3-2
L
31.10 vs Nottingham Forest 2-0
W
08.11 @ Brighton 2-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.