Sunderland
D
D
W
L
L
W
-
(xG) 0.97 - 1.06
Newcastle
L
L
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 67.07% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Prediction Track Records

Sunderland team crest Sunderland Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Sunderland
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
08.11.2026 vs Chelsea 2 O2.5 1-0
05.11.2026 vs Dinamo Zagreb X U2.5 0-2
31.10.2026 @ Coventry 1 O2.5 3-1
28.10.2026 vs Brentford 2 O2.5 3-2
25.10.2026 vs Leeds X U2.5 0-0

Newcastle team crest Newcastle Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Newcastle
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
07.11.2026 @ Fulham X O2.5 1-1
02.11.2026 vs Everton 2 O2.5 0-1
29.10.2026 @ Everton X U2.5 3-1
25.10.2026 @ Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-2
17.10.2026 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 0-1

Sunderland vs Newcastle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadium of Light
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Sunderland scored an average of 1.40 goals per match, compared to Newcastle 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sunderland scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Newcastle scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sunderland vs Newcastle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.97 for Sunderland and 1.06 for Newcastle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.07%.

H2H - Sunderland vs. Newcastle

01-05-2027
Sunderland
-
(HT -)
Newcastle
22-03-2026
Newcastle
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
14-12-2025
Sunderland
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle
06-01-2024
Sunderland
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Newcastle
20-03-2016
Newcastle
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
25-10-2015
Sunderland
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
05-04-2015
Sunderland
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Newcastle
21-12-2014
Newcastle
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sunderland

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sunderland

22.10 @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25.10 vs Leeds 0-0
D
28.10 vs Brentford 3-2
W
31.10 @ Coventry 3-1
L
05.11 vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L
08.11 vs Chelsea 1-0
W

Away Crest Newcastle

12.10 @ Coventry 4-1
L
17.10 vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25.10 @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29.10 @ Everton 3-1
L
02.11 vs Everton 0-1
L
07.11 @ Fulham 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.