Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.49 - 1.39
Manchester United
D
L
L
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.97% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Bournemouth vs Manchester United

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.47 goals per match, compared to Manchester United 1.84 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 0.83, whereas Manchester United scored 1.17 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Manchester United match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.49 for Bournemouth and 1.39 for Manchester United. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.97%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Manchester United

08-05-2027
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Manchester United
25-10-2026
Manchester United
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Bournemouth
20-03-2026
Bournemouth
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester United
15-12-2025
Manchester United
4 - 4
(HT 2-1)
Bournemouth
27-04-2025
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
22-12-2024
Manchester United
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
13-04-2024
Bournemouth
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Manchester United
09-12-2023
Manchester United
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Bournemouth
20-05-2023
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
03-01-2023
Manchester United
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
04-07-2020
Manchester United
5 - 2
(HT 3-1)
Bournemouth
02-11-2019
Bournemouth
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester United
30-12-2018
Manchester United
4 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Bournemouth
03-11-2018
Bournemouth
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United
18-04-2018
Bournemouth
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
13-12-2017
Manchester United
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
04-03-2017
Manchester United
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
14-08-2016
Bournemouth
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Manchester United
17-05-2016
Manchester United
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
12-12-2015
Bournemouth
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Manchester United

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Manchester United

18.10 @ Leeds 1-1
D
21.10 @ Como 4-1
L
25.10 vs Bournemouth 0-3
L
31.10 @ Chelsea 2-0
L
03.11 vs AS Roma 3-2
W
08.11 vs Aston Villa 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.