Brentford
D
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 2.09 - 1.20
Aston Villa
W
W
L
D
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 64.01% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Brentford vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Brentford Community Stadium
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Brentford scored an average of 1.28 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 1.28 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Brentford scored an average of 2.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.83 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Brentford vs Aston Villa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.09 for Brentford and 1.20 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.01%.

H2H - Brentford vs. Aston Villa

08-05-2027
Brentford
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
10-10-2026
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brentford
01-02-2026
Aston Villa
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Brentford
16-09-2025
Brentford
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aston Villa
23-08-2025
Brentford
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
08-03-2025
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
04-12-2024
Aston Villa
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Brentford
06-04-2024
Aston Villa
3 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
17-12-2023
Brentford
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Aston Villa
22-04-2023
Brentford
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
23-10-2022
Aston Villa
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Brentford
02-01-2022
Brentford
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
28-08-2021
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Brentford
13-02-2019
Brentford
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aston Villa
22-08-2018
Aston Villa
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Brentford
26-12-2017
Brentford
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Aston Villa
09-09-2017
Aston Villa
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
31-01-2017
Brentford
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aston Villa
14-09-2016
Aston Villa
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brentford

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Brentford

10.10 @ Aston Villa 2-2
D
17.10 vs Liverpool 1-2
L
25.10 @ Hull City 1-1
D
28.10 @ Sunderland 3-2
L
31.10 vs Nottingham Forest 2-0
W
08.11 @ Brighton 2-0
L

Away Crest Aston Villa

21.10 vs Viking 3-1
W
24.10 vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31.10 vs Fulham 1-1
D
03.11 @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08.11 @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.