Leeds
D
L
D
D
L
W
-
(xG) 1.22 - 1.52
Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.67% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Leeds vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Elland Road
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Leeds scored an average of 0.67 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 2.89 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Leeds scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 0.50, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Leeds vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.22 for Leeds and 1.52 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.67%.

H2H - Leeds vs. Arsenal

08-05-2027
Leeds
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
10-10-2026
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Leeds
31-01-2026
Leeds
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
23-08-2025
Arsenal
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Leeds
01-04-2023
Arsenal
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Leeds
16-10-2022
Leeds
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
08-05-2022
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Leeds
18-12-2021
Leeds
1 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Arsenal
14-02-2021
Arsenal
4 - 2
(HT 3-0)
Leeds
22-11-2020
Leeds
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Leeds

20.09 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
D
10.10 @ Arsenal 2-1
L
18.10 vs Manchester United 1-1
D
25.10 @ Sunderland 0-0
D
31.10 @ Bournemouth 2-0
L
07.11 vs Tottenham 1-0
W

Away Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.