Manchester City
W
L
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.98 - 1.61
Liverpool
W
W
D
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 69.55% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Prediction Track Records

Manchester City team crest Manchester City Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Manchester City
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
07.11.2026 @ Nottingham Forest 2 U2.5 3-1
04.11.2026 @ RB Leipzig X O2.5 2-3
31.10.2026 vs Brighton X O2.5 0-1
24.10.2026 @ Aston Villa 2 O2.5 2-1
20.10.2026 vs AEK Athens FC X O2.5 5-1

Liverpool team crest Liverpool Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Liverpool
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
08.11.2026 @ Crystal Palace X O2.5 1-3
04.11.2026 @ Fenerbahçe X O2.5 3-2
01.11.2026 vs Arsenal 1 O2.5 0-1
25.10.2026 vs Brighton X O2.5 2-0
20.10.2026 vs Villarreal 1 O2.5 4-3

Manchester City vs Liverpool

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Etihad Stadium
In their previous 37 head-to-head matches, Manchester City scored an average of 1.78 goals per match, compared to Liverpool 1.49 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Manchester City scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Liverpool scored 2.00 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester City vs Liverpool match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.98 for Manchester City and 1.61 for Liverpool. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.55%.

H2H - Manchester City vs. Liverpool

08-05-2027
Manchester City
-
(HT -)
Liverpool
11-10-2026
Liverpool
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
04-04-2026
Manchester City
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Liverpool
08-02-2026
Liverpool
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Manchester City
09-11-2025
Manchester City
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Liverpool
23-02-2025
Manchester City
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Liverpool
01-12-2024
Liverpool
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Manchester City
10-03-2024
Liverpool
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Manchester City

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Manchester City

20.10 vs AEK Athens FC 5-1
W
24.10 @ Aston Villa 2-1
L
28.10 vs Brighton 2-2
D
31.10 vs Brighton 0-1
L
04.11 @ RB Leipzig 2-3
W
07.11 @ Nottingham Forest 3-1
L

Away Crest Liverpool

20.10 vs Villarreal 4-3
W
25.10 vs Brighton 2-0
W
28.10 vs Chelsea 1-1
D
01.11 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
04.11 @ Fenerbahce 3-2
L
08.11 @ Crystal Palace 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.