Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.81 - 0.58
Nottingham Forest
L
L
L
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 57.26% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.60 goals per match, compared to Nottingham Forest 0.40 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.33, whereas Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.81 for Arsenal and 0.58 for Nottingham Forest. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.26%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest

15-05-2027
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Nottingham Forest
18-10-2026
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
17-01-2026
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
13-09-2025
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
26-02-2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
23-11-2024
Arsenal
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
30-01-2024
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
12-08-2023
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Nottingham Forest
20-05-2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arsenal
30-10-2022
Arsenal
5 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Nottingham Forest
09-01-2022
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Away Crest Nottingham Forest

19.09 vs Coventry 0-1
L
11.10 @ Crystal Palace 3-1
L
18.10 vs Arsenal 0-1
L
23.10 @ Ipswich 1-1
D
31.10 @ Brentford 2-0
L
07.11 vs Manchester City 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.