Sunderland
D
D
W
L
L
W
-
(xG) 0.83 - 1.59
Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 56.42% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Sunderland vs Bournemouth

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stadium of Light
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Sunderland scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Bournemouth 1.43 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sunderland scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Bournemouth scored 1.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sunderland vs Bournemouth match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.83 for Sunderland and 1.59 for Bournemouth. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.42%.

H2H - Sunderland vs. Bournemouth

15-05-2027
Sunderland
-
(HT -)
Bournemouth
18-10-2026
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Sunderland
28-02-2026
Bournemouth
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Sunderland
29-11-2025
Sunderland
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Bournemouth
29-04-2017
Sunderland
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
05-11-2016
Bournemouth
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Sunderland
23-01-2016
Sunderland
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bournemouth
19-09-2015
Bournemouth
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Sunderland

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sunderland

22.10 @ Lech Poznan 1-1
D
25.10 vs Leeds 0-0
D
28.10 vs Brentford 3-2
W
31.10 @ Coventry 3-1
L
05.11 vs Dinamo Zagreb 0-2
L
08.11 vs Chelsea 1-0
W

Away Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.