Bournemouth
W
W
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.57 - 1.00
Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.43% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Bournemouth vs Chelsea

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Vitality Stadium
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.05 goals per match, compared to Chelsea 1.68 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.17, whereas Chelsea scored 1.17 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bournemouth vs Chelsea match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.57 for Bournemouth and 1.00 for Chelsea. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.43%.

H2H - Bournemouth vs. Chelsea

23-05-2027
Bournemouth
-
(HT -)
Chelsea
10-10-2026
Chelsea
5 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
30-12-2025
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 2-2)
Bournemouth
06-12-2025
Bournemouth
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
14-01-2025
Chelsea
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
14-09-2024
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
19-05-2024
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
17-09-2023
Bournemouth
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
06-05-2023
Bournemouth
1 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Chelsea
27-12-2022
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Bournemouth
29-02-2020
Bournemouth
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
14-12-2019
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
30-01-2019
Bournemouth
4 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
01-09-2018
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
31-01-2018
Chelsea
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth
28-10-2017
Bournemouth
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
08-04-2017
Bournemouth
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Chelsea
26-12-2016
Chelsea
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bournemouth
23-04-2016
Bournemouth
1 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Chelsea
05-12-2015
Chelsea
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bournemouth

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bournemouth

22.10 vs AC Milan 3-0
W
25.10 @ Manchester United 0-3
W
28.10 vs Aston Villa 3-0
W
31.10 vs Leeds 2-0
W
05.11 @ Sparta Praha 1-3
W
08.11 @ Ipswich 1-2
W

Away Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.