Everton vs Arsenal
H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Everton scored an average of 0.85 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Everton scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 0.67.
What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Everton vs Arsenal match?
Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.17 for Everton and 1.33 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.21%.
Poisson Distribution Algorithm
We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.