Everton
D
L
L
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.17 - 1.33
Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.21% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Prediction Track Records

Everton team crest Everton Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Everton
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
06.11.2026 vs Coventry 1 U2.5 3-1
02.11.2026 @ Newcastle 2 O2.5 0-1
29.10.2026 vs Newcastle X U2.5 3-1
24.10.2026 @ Arsenal 1 O2.5 2-0
17.10.2026 vs Chelsea 1 O2.5 0-2

Arsenal team crest Arsenal Prediction Track Record

Historical prediction accuracy for Arsenal
Date Fixture 1X2 Prediction Over/Under Final Score
07.11.2026 vs Hull City 1 O2.5 1-0
04.11.2026 @ Slavia Praha 2 O2.5 1-2
01.11.2026 @ Liverpool 1 O2.5 0-1
24.10.2026 vs Everton 1 O2.5 2-0
21.10.2026 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2

Everton vs Arsenal

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Hill Dickinson Stadium
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Everton scored an average of 0.85 goals per match, compared to Arsenal 1.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Everton scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Arsenal scored 1.17 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Everton vs Arsenal match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.17 for Everton and 1.33 for Arsenal. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.21%.

H2H - Everton vs. Arsenal

23-05-2027
Everton
-
(HT -)
Arsenal
24-10-2026
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Everton
14-03-2026
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Everton
20-12-2025
Everton
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
05-04-2025
Everton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
14-12-2024
Arsenal
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Everton
19-05-2024
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Everton
17-09-2023
Everton
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Everton

11.10 @ Hull City 2-2
D
17.10 vs Chelsea 0-2
L
24.10 @ Arsenal 2-0
L
29.10 vs Newcastle 3-1
W
02.11 @ Newcastle 0-1
W
06.11 vs Coventry 3-1
W

Away Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.