Arsenal
D
W
D
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.45 - 1.68
Brighton
D
L
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.60% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Arsenal vs Brighton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Emirates Stadium
In their previous 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.35 goals per match, compared to Brighton 1.05 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arsenal scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 0.33, whereas Brighton scored 1.83 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arsenal vs Brighton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.45 for Arsenal and 1.68 for Brighton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.60%.

H2H - Arsenal vs. Brighton

30-05-2027
Arsenal
-
(HT -)
Brighton
19-09-2026
Brighton
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Arsenal
04-03-2026
Brighton
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
27-12-2025
Arsenal
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
29-10-2025
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
04-01-2025
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
31-08-2024
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
06-04-2024
Brighton
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Arsenal
17-12-2023
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
14-05-2023
Arsenal
0 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
31-12-2022
Brighton
2 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Arsenal
09-04-2022
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
02-10-2021
Brighton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
23-05-2021
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Brighton
29-12-2020
Brighton
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
20-06-2020
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Arsenal
05-12-2019
Arsenal
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brighton
05-05-2019
Arsenal
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brighton
26-12-2018
Brighton
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Arsenal
04-03-2018
Brighton
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Arsenal
01-10-2017
Arsenal
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brighton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arsenal

21.10 @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
24.10 vs Everton 2-0
W
27.10 @ Fleetwood Town 1-1
D
01.11 @ Liverpool 0-1
W
04.11 @ Slavia Praha 1-2
W
07.11 vs Hull City 1-0
W

Away Crest Brighton

22.10 @ FK Jablonec 0-0
D
25.10 @ Liverpool 2-0
L
28.10 @ Manchester City 2-2
D
31.10 @ Manchester City 0-1
W
05.11 @ Getafe 0-1
W
08.11 vs Brentford 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.