Chelsea
W
W
L
D
W
L
-
(xG) 1.97 - 1.59
Brentford
D
L
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 69.09% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Chelsea vs Brentford

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England Premier League
Stamford Bridge
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Chelsea scored an average of 0.91 goals per match, compared to Brentford 1.45 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Chelsea scored an average of 3.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Brentford scored 1.50 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Chelsea vs Brentford match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.97 for Chelsea and 1.59 for Brentford. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.09%.

H2H - Chelsea vs. Brentford

30-05-2027
Chelsea
-
(HT -)
Brentford
18-09-2026
Brentford
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
17-01-2026
Chelsea
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
13-09-2025
Brentford
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Chelsea
06-04-2025
Brentford
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
15-12-2024
Chelsea
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Brentford
02-03-2024
Brentford
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea
28-10-2023
Chelsea
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
26-04-2023
Chelsea
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Brentford
19-10-2022
Brentford
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Chelsea
02-04-2022
Chelsea
1 - 4
(HT 0-0)
Brentford
16-10-2021
Brentford
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Chelsea

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Chelsea

10.10 vs Bournemouth 5-1
W
17.10 @ Everton 0-2
W
24.10 vs Tottenham 0-2
L
28.10 @ Liverpool 1-1
D
31.10 vs Manchester United 2-0
W
08.11 @ Sunderland 1-0
L

Away Crest Brentford

10.10 @ Aston Villa 2-2
D
17.10 vs Liverpool 1-2
L
25.10 @ Hull City 1-1
D
28.10 @ Sunderland 3-2
L
31.10 vs Nottingham Forest 2-0
W
08.11 @ Brighton 2-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.