What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Manchester United

(xG) 1.78 - 0.85

Fulham

Mathematical Predictions: Manchester United vs Fulham

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 51.26% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Manchester United Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Manchester United
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
08 Nov 26	vs Aston Villa	1	O2.5	4-4
03 Nov 26	vs AS Roma	X	O2.5	3-2
31 Oct 26	@ Chelsea	1	O2.5	2-0
25 Oct 26	vs Bournemouth	X	O2.5	0-3
21 Oct 26	@ Como	1	U2.5	4-1

Fulham Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fulham
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	vs Newcastle	X	O2.5	1-1
31 Oct 26	@ Aston Villa	1	O2.5	1-1
28 Oct 26	vs Crystal Palace	1	O2.5	0-1
24 Oct 26	@ Coventry	1	O2.5	0-1
17 Oct 26	vs Hull City	X	O2.5	1-0

Manchester United vs Fulham

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

England Premier League

2027-05-30T19:00:00

Old Trafford

In their previous 23 head-to-head matches, Manchester United scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Fulham 0.87 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Manchester United scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 2.17, whereas Fulham scored 0.67 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Manchester United vs Fulham match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.78 for Manchester United and 0.85 for Fulham. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.26%.

H2H - Manchester United vs. Fulham

30 May 27

Manchester United

(HT -)

Fulham

20 Sep 26

Fulham

1 - 1

(HT 0-0)

Manchester United

01 Feb 26

Manchester United

3 - 2

(HT 1-0)

Fulham

24 Aug 25

Fulham

1 - 1

(HT 0-0)

Manchester United

02 Mar 25

Manchester United

1 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Fulham

26 Jan 25

Fulham

0 - 1

(HT 0-0)

Manchester United

16 Aug 24

Manchester United

1 - 0

(HT 0-0)

Fulham

24 Feb 24

Manchester United

1 - 2

(HT 0-0)

Fulham

Team Form (Last 6)

Manchester United

18 Oct @ Leeds 1-1

21 Oct @ Como 4-1

25 Oct vs Bournemouth 0-3

31 Oct @ Chelsea 2-0

03 Nov vs AS Roma 3-2

08 Nov vs Aston Villa 4-4

Fulham

10 Oct @ Ipswich 2-1

17 Oct vs Hull City 1-0

24 Oct @ Coventry 0-1

28 Oct vs Crystal Palace 0-1

31 Oct @ Aston Villa 1-1

07 Nov vs Newcastle 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.