Lille
D
L
D
W
D
W
1-0
(xG) 1.84 - 1.37
Lens
W
L
W
L
L
L

Mathematical Predictions: Lille vs Lens

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 62.36% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Lille team crest Lille Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Lille
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Rennes X U2.5 1-2
03 Nov 26 @ Bodo/Glimt 1 O2.5 0-0
30 Oct 26 vs Lens 1 O2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 @ Monaco 1 U2.5 1-1
21 Oct 26 vs Galatasaray X O2.5 2-4

Lens team crest Lens Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Lens
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Marseille 2 O2.5 1-2
04 Nov 26 vs Como X O2.5 1-9
30 Oct 26 @ Lille 1 O2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 vs Paris FC 1 O2.5 2-1
21 Oct 26 @ Club Brugge KV X O2.5 3-0

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.76
X 3.56
2 2.68
O 2.5 1.86
U 2.5 2.10
Betano
1 2.70
X 3.50
2 2.55
O 2.5 1.82
U 2.5 2.05
Dafabet
1 2.60
X 3.50
2 2.70
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-10-30 07:39:12

Lille vs Lens

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
France Ligue 1
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Lille scored an average of 1.80 goals per match, compared to Lens 0.73 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Lille scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.67, whereas Lens scored 1.67 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Lille vs Lens match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.84 for Lille and 1.37 for Lens. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 62.36%.

H2H - Lille vs. Lens

30 Oct 26
Lille
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Lens
04 Apr 26
Lille
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Lens
20 Sep 25
Lens
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Lille
30 Mar 25
Lille
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Lens
26 Oct 24
Lens
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Lille
29 Mar 24
Lille
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lens
08 Oct 23
Lens
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Lille
16 Apr 22
Lille
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Lens

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Lille

17 Oct vs Stade Brestois 29 1-1
D
21 Oct vs Galatasaray 2-4
L
25 Oct @ Monaco 1-1
D
30 Oct vs Lens 1-0
W
03 Nov @ Bodo/Glimt 0-0
D
08 Nov @ Rennes 1-2
W

Away Crest Lens

17 Oct @ Estac Troyes 1-3
W
21 Oct @ Club Brugge KV 3-0
L
24 Oct vs Paris FC 2-1
W
30 Oct @ Lille 1-0
L
04 Nov vs Como 1-9
L
08 Nov vs Marseille 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.