Lens
W
L
W
L
L
L
1-2
(xG) 1.36 - 1.94
Marseille
W
L
W
W
W
W

Mathematical Predictions: Lens vs Marseille

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 63.90% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Lens team crest Lens Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Lens
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Marseille 2 O2.5 1-2
04 Nov 26 vs Como X O2.5 1-9
30 Oct 26 @ Lille 1 O2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 vs Paris FC 1 O2.5 2-1
21 Oct 26 @ Club Brugge KV X O2.5 3-0

Marseille team crest Marseille Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Marseille
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Lens 2 O2.5 1-2
05 Nov 26 @ Bayer Leverkusen 1 O2.5 0-1
01 Nov 26 vs Toulouse 1 O2.5 2-0
25 Oct 26 vs Le Havre 1 O2.5 4-3
22 Oct 26 @ Sturm Graz 1 U2.5 1-0

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmaker
1
X
2
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
1xBet
1 2.12
X 4.16
2 3.30
O 2.5 1.46
U 2.5 2.72
Betano
1 2.10
X 3.90
2 3.15
O 2.5 1.50
U 2.5 2.70
Dafabet
1 2.08
X 3.90
2 3.20
O 2.5 0.00
U 2.5 0.00
Updated 2026-10-30 07:39:12

Lens vs Marseille

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
France Ligue 1
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Lens scored an average of 1.07 goals per match, compared to Marseille 1.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Lens scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.67, whereas Marseille scored 1.50 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Lens vs Marseille match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.36 for Lens and 1.94 for Marseille. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.90%.

H2H - Lens vs. Marseille

08 Nov 26
Lens
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Marseille
24 Jan 26
Marseille
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Lens
25 Oct 25
Lens
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Marseille
08 Mar 25
Marseille
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Lens
23 Nov 24
Lens
1 - 3
(HT 0-0)
Marseille
28 Apr 24
Marseille
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lens
12 Nov 23
Lens
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Marseille
22 Jan 22
Lens
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Marseille

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Lens

17 Oct @ Estac Troyes 1-3
W
21 Oct @ Club Brugge KV 3-0
L
24 Oct vs Paris FC 2-1
W
30 Oct @ Lille 1-0
L
04 Nov vs Como 1-9
L
08 Nov vs Marseille 1-2
L

Away Crest Marseille

18 Oct @ Angers 2-5
W
22 Oct @ Sturm Graz 1-0
L
25 Oct vs LE Havre 4-3
W
01 Nov vs Toulouse 2-0
W
05 Nov @ Bayer Leverkusen 0-1
W
08 Nov @ Lens 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.