Auxerre
W
L
W
D
L
L
-
(xG) 1.25 - 1.86
Marseille
W
L
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.12% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Auxerre vs Marseille

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
France Ligue 1
TBA
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Auxerre scored an average of 1.25 goals per match, compared to Marseille 1.25 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Auxerre scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.17, whereas Marseille scored 1.67 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Auxerre vs Marseille match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.25 for Auxerre and 1.86 for Marseille. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.12%.

H2H - Auxerre vs. Marseille

24-04-2027
Marseille
-
(HT -)
Auxerre
29-11-2026
Auxerre
-
(HT -)
Marseille
13-03-2026
Marseille
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Auxerre
01-11-2025
Auxerre
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Marseille
22-02-2025
Auxerre
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Marseille
08-11-2024
Marseille
1 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Auxerre
13-05-2012
Marseille
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Auxerre
14-08-2011
Auxerre
2 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Marseille
01-05-2011
Marseille
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Auxerre
11-12-2010
Auxerre
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Marseille

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Auxerre

20.09 vs Stade Brestois 29 2-1
W
11.10 @ Rennes 4-1
L
18.10 @ LE Havre 1-3
W
25.10 vs Le Mans 1-1
D
01.11 @ Strasbourg 5-1
L
07.11 vs Paris FC 0-1
L

Away Crest Marseille

18.10 @ Angers 2-5
W
22.10 @ Sturm Graz 1-0
L
25.10 vs LE Havre 4-3
W
01.11 vs Toulouse 2-0
W
05.11 @ Bayer Leverkusen 0-1
W
08.11 @ Lens 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.