Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz
D L W D L W
1 - 3
xG 1.56 - 1.17
PAU
W W W W W L

Mathematical Predictions: Metz vs PAU

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.18% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Metz team crest Metz Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Metz
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Montpellier X U2.5 2-3
30 Oct 26 vs PAU 1 O2.5 1-3
23 Oct 26 @ Dunkerque X U2.5 1-1
17 Oct 26 vs Sochaux 1 O2.5 3-2
12 Oct 26 @ Dijon 1 O2.5 4-2

PAU team crest PAU Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for PAU
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Nantes 2 O2.5 0-2
30 Oct 26 @ Metz 1 O2.5 1-3
23 Oct 26 vs Grenoble 1 O2.5 2-1
16 Oct 26 @ Guingamp 1 O2.5 1-2
09 Oct 26 vs Laval 1 U2.5 3-2

Metz vs PAU

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Stade Saint-Symphorien
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Metz scored an average of 0.67 goals per match, compared to PAU 1.67 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Metz scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.67, whereas PAU scored 0.83 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Metz vs PAU match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.56 for Metz and 1.17 for PAU. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.18%.

H2H - Metz vs. PAU

30 Oct 26
Metz
1 - 3
(HT 0-1)
PAU
26 Apr 25
PAU
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Metz
04 Jan 25
Metz
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
PAU

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Metz

19 Sep vs Saint Etienne 2-2
D
12 Oct @ Dijon 4-2
L
17 Oct vs Sochaux 3-2
W
23 Oct @ Dunkerque 1-1
D
30 Oct vs PAU 1-3
L
06 Nov @ Montpellier 2-3
W

Away Crest PAU

18 Sep vs Dunkerque 2-0
W
09 Oct vs Laval 3-2
W
16 Oct @ Guingamp 1-2
W
23 Oct vs Grenoble 2-1
W
30 Oct @ Metz 1-3
W
07 Nov vs Nantes 0-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.