MSV Duisburg
W
W
D
L
D
W
-
(xG) 1.78 - 1.56
Alemannia Aachen
L
L
W
W
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 64.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, MSV Duisburg scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Alemannia Aachen 2.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, MSV Duisburg scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.67, whereas Alemannia Aachen scored 1.00 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.78 for MSV Duisburg and 1.56 for Alemannia Aachen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.72%.

H2H - MSV Duisburg vs. Alemannia Aachen

15-05-2027
Alemannia Aachen
-
(HT -)
MSV Duisburg
19-12-2026
MSV Duisburg
-
(HT -)
Alemannia Aachen
24-04-2026
Alemannia Aachen
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
MSV Duisburg
29-11-2025
MSV Duisburg
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Alemannia Aachen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest MSV Duisburg

10.10 vs Hoffenheim II 3-2
W
13.10 @ FC Saarbrücken 2-4
W
18.10 vs FC Viktoria Koln 1-1
D
24.10 @ FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1
L
31.10 vs Stuttgart II 3-3
D
07.11 @ Preussen Munster 1-2
W

Away Crest Alemannia Aachen

11.10 vs FC Viktoria Koln 2-5
L
14.10 @ SV Wehen 3-0
L
17.10 vs Hansa Rostock 2-0
W
24.10 @ Stuttgart II 1-2
W
01.11 vs Preussen Munster 2-1
W
07.11 @ Rot-weiss Essen 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.