What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

MSV Duisburg

(xG) 1.94 - 1.50

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Mathematical Predictions: MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 66.88% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

MSV Duisburg Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for MSV Duisburg
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	@ Preußen Münster	X	O2.5	1-2
31 Oct 26	vs Stuttgart II	1	O2.5	3-3
24 Oct 26	@ FC Ingolstadt 04	2	O2.5	2-1
18 Oct 26	vs FC Viktoria Köln	2	O2.5	1-1
13 Oct 26	@ FC Saarbrücken	2	O2.5	2-4

Fortuna Düsseldorf Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	@ FC Ingolstadt 04	2	U2.5	3-2
30 Oct 26	vs SV Meppen	2	O2.5	0-0
24 Oct 26	@ Hansa Rostock	2	O2.5	1-1
17 Oct 26	vs FC Saarbrücken	2	O2.5	1-3
14 Oct 26	@ Preußen Münster	2	O2.5	1-2

MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Germany 3. Liga

2027-02-20T15:00:00

Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, MSV Duisburg scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, MSV Duisburg scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.17, whereas Fortuna Düsseldorf scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.94 for MSV Duisburg and 1.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 66.88%.

H2H - MSV Duisburg vs. Fortuna Düsseldorf

20 Feb 27

MSV Duisburg

(HT -)

Fortuna Düsseldorf

12 Sep 26

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2 - 1

(HT 0-0)

MSV Duisburg

Team Form (Last 6)

MSV Duisburg

10 Oct vs Hoffenheim II 3-2

13 Oct @ FC Saarbrücken 2-4

18 Oct vs FC Viktoria Koln 1-1

24 Oct @ FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1

31 Oct vs Stuttgart II 3-3

07 Nov @ Preussen Munster 1-2

Fortuna Düsseldorf

11 Oct vs Verl 2-2

14 Oct @ Preussen Munster 1-2

17 Oct vs FC Saarbrücken 1-3

24 Oct @ Hansa Rostock 1-1

30 Oct vs SV Meppen 0-0

07 Nov @ FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.