Borussia Dortmund
W
W
W
D
W
W
-
(xG) 1.81 - 1.72
Bayer Leverkusen
W
L
W
L
L
W

Mathematical Predictions: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 68.55% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Borussia Dortmund team crest Borussia Dortmund Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Borussia Dortmund
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs SV Elversberg 1 O2.5 2-1
04 Nov 26 vs Real Betis 1 O2.5 2-1
31 Oct 26 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2
27 Oct 26 vs Werder Bremen 1 O2.5 3-2
24 Oct 26 vs Eintracht Frankfurt X O2.5 1-0

Bayer Leverkusen team crest Bayer Leverkusen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bayer Leverkusen
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ 1. FC Köln X O2.5 1-2
05 Nov 26 vs Marseille 1 O2.5 0-1
31 Oct 26 vs VfB Stuttgart 1 O2.5 2-4
28 Oct 26 vs 1. FC Nürnberg 1 O2.5 5-2
25 Oct 26 @ 1899 Hoffenheim X O2.5 3-0

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 33 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund scored an average of 1.94 goals per match, compared to Bayer Leverkusen 1.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Borussia Dortmund scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.83, whereas Bayer Leverkusen scored 1.83 and conceded 2.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.81 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.72 for Bayer Leverkusen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 68.55%.

H2H - Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayer Leverkusen

29 Nov 26
Borussia Dortmund
-
(HT -)
Bayer Leverkusen
11 Apr 26
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Bayer Leverkusen
02 Dec 25
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Bayer Leverkusen
29 Nov 25
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Borussia Dortmund
11 May 25
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Borussia Dortmund
10 Jan 25
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
(HT 1-3)
Bayer Leverkusen
21 Apr 24
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Bayer Leverkusen
03 Dec 23
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Borussia Dortmund

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Borussia Dortmund

20 Oct @ Sabah FA 1-2
W
24 Oct vs Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
W
27 Oct vs Werder Bremen 3-2
W
31 Oct @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
04 Nov vs Real Betis 2-1
W
07 Nov vs SV Elversberg 2-1
W

Away Crest Bayer Leverkusen

22 Oct @ OFI 0-2
W
25 Oct @ 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0
L
28 Oct vs FC Nurnberg 5-2
W
31 Oct vs VfB Stuttgart 2-4
L
05 Nov vs Marseille 0-1
L
08 Nov @ 1.FC Köln 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.